The crop in China has already started and analysts expect it to be large at around 40 million tons (fresh), which would lead to lower pricing for juice. Analysts in Europe say they are getting indications for new season supplies from China at USD1100/ton low acid FOB China, compared with USD1000-1300/ton last month.
With the lower prices predicted, the industry in China will probably be able to regain its share of the US market and the rest of the world. A shorter crop and high prices in China last season allowed for European exporters to ship to the US. However, the industry in China currently has to deal with a 25% duty on exports to the US which was increased from 10% in March this year.