APPLE

It is expected that EU origin of 2020 AJC crop will be at the same level of 2019.

Please refer to the table below which shows the forecasted quantity in the major EU countries:

Country

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

F2020

Austria

199

157

155

188

177

40

67

184

146

121

France

1,701

1,169

1,576

1,444

1,674

1,515

1,424

1,477

1,651

1,431

Germany

953

972

804

1,116

973

1,033

597

1,093

991

951

Greece

305

242

236

245

242

259

231

301

276

289

Hungary

301

750

585

920

522

498

530

782

452

350

Italy

2,293

1,939

2,122

2,456

2,280

2,272

1,704

2,264

2,096

2,080

Netherlands

418

281

314

353

336

317

228

267

272

234

Poland

2,500

2,900

3,170

3,750

3,979

4,035

2,870

4,810

2,910

3,400

Portugal

265

221

284

272

329

263

314

267

354

301

Romania

412

351

387

382

336

327

230

425

327

343

Spain

507

391

464

505

482

495

480

476

555

467

UK

226

162

204

206

243

239

207

219

205

207

Total (MT):

10,080

9,535

10,301

11,837

11,573

11,293

8,882

12,565

10,235

10,174

Poland (Europe’s leading AJC producer) expects a good crop while Hungary (the second largest AJC producing country) is expecting a crop close to a disaster due to bad weather.

China expects a reduction in their apple crop of around 40 million MT
(very roughly half the world’s apple crop). China’s focus is the US market and their pricing will follow a line to supply a share of up to 60% of American demand which, is approx. 500,000 MT per year.

The US expects a crop of approx. 4.8 million MT this year (slightly less than 2019), however their production of AJC is relatively small.

Turkey is becoming a more important player in the AJC market. The country is now amongst the big 5 producers with roughly 3.5 million MT of apple produced in recent years. In 2018 Turkey exported about 80,000 MT of AJC.

The Southern Hemisphere produces about 5 million ton of apples annually of which Chile makes up 1/3 of the regions production as the largest apple producing country. Chile’s focus for AJC is the US market.

What this will mean for European apple prices for juicing is still uncertain. Thus far we know that prices for the first crop of apples are unusually high which was not expected due to the relatively good crop in Poland.

Our associate, Austria Juice is expecting tough negotiations with apple growers this year to bring prices for processing apples to a level at which large quantities of AJC can be sold.

At present it is too early to indicate a price level for European AJC for the whole crop which usually goes until mid/end November.